Skip to Main Content

Cloudy with a Chance of Profits: Will Big Tech Shine or Stumble?

Xchange NewsletterJanuary 24, 2025 | 4 min read
AI robot sitting on a swing attached to a cloud in the sky

Editor’s note: Any and all references to time frames longer than one trading day are for purposes of market context only, and not recommendations of any holding time frame. Daily rebalancing ETFs are not meant to be held unmonitored for long periods. If you don't have the resources, time or inclination to constantly monitor and manage your positions, leveraged and inverse ETFs are not for you.

Investing in the funds involves a high degree of risk. Unlike traditional ETFs, or even other leveraged and/or inverse ETFs, these leveraged and/or inverse single-stock ETFs track the price of a single stock rather than an index, eliminating the benefits of diversification. Leveraged and inverse ETFs pursue daily leveraged investment objectives, which means they are riskier than alternatives which do not use leverage. They seek daily goals and should not be expected to track the underlying stock’s performance over periods longer than one day. They are not suitable for all investors and should be utilized only by investors who understand leverage risk and who actively manage their investments. The Funds will lose money if the underlying stock’s performance is flat, and it is possible that the Bull Fund will lose money even if the underlying stock’s performance increases, and the Bear Fund will lose money even if the underlying stock’s performance decreases, over a period longer than a single day. An investor could lose the full principal value of his or her investment in a single day. Investing in the Funds is not equivalent to investing directly in AAPL, GOOGL, or MSFT.

Microsoft Corporation, Alphabet Inc., and Apple Inc. are set to report their quarterly earnings in the coming weeks, and traders are closely watching these Big Tech giants for insights into the state of innovation, cloud computing, advertising, and consumer spending.

With volatility often accompanying these reports, Direxion’s Single Stock Daily Leveraged & Inverse ETFs offer tactical opportunities to trade the potential breakouts or breakdowns ahead of these earnings announcements.

Microsoft: AI and Cloud Dominate the Narrative

  • Earnings Date: January 29, 2025 (expected)
  • Key Themes: Microsoft’s push into artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud computing remains central to its growth story. Traders will look for updates on Azure’s market share gains and the adoption of AI-driven enterprise tools like Copilot for Office 365. Weakness in PC-related segments may offset these tailwinds. Investors will also be looking for any details on Microsoft’s recent announcement it plans to invest $80 billion on AI-enabled data centers in fiscal 2025, as Reuters reports.
  • Metrics to Watch: Revenue growth in Intelligent Cloud, Azure’s contribution, and any commentary on AI monetization strategies.
  • Trading MSFT Earnings: Bullish traders anticipating strong cloud growth and AI adoption can consider the Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares (Ticker: MSFU) to attempt to amplify exposure. For those expecting a miss in earnings or weakness in guidance, the Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (Ticker: MSFD) may provide a way to profit from downside moves. MSFU and MSFD seek daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 200% and 100% of the inverse (or opposite), respectively, of the performance of the common shares of Microsoft Corporation (Ticker: MSFT).

Below is a daily chart of MSFT, as of January 6, 2025.

Daily chart of MSFT, as of January 6, 2025

Source: StockCharts.com, January 6, 2025.

Candlestick charts display the high and low (the stick) and the open and close price (the body) of a security for a specific period. If the body is filled, it means the close was lower than the open. If the body is empty, it means the close was higher than the open.

The performance data quoted represents past performance. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Alphabet: Can Ads and Cloud Fuel Growth?

  • Earnings Date: February 4, 2025 (expected)
  • Key Themes: Alphabet’s results will shed light on resilience in its core advertising business, particularly YouTube and search, as well as the profitability of Google Cloud. Any weakness in cloud growth compared to peers like Microsoft or Amazon could weigh on sentiment.
  • Metrics to Watch: YouTube ad revenue, Google Cloud margins, and traffic acquisition costs (TAC).
  • Trading GOOGL Earnings: For traders expecting Alphabet to outperform with strong ad revenues and cloud profitability, the Direxion Daily GOOGL Bull 2X Shares (Ticker: GGLL) offers enhanced exposure. Bearish traders anticipating soft ad performance or a miss in cloud growth can use the Direxion Daily GOOGL Bear 1X Shares (Ticker: GGLS) to attempt to position for downside moves. GGLL and GGLS seek daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 200% and 100% of the inverse (or opposite), respectively, of the performance of the Class A shares of Alphabet Inc. (Ticker: GOOGL).

Apple: Gauging Consumer Demand Amid Uncertainty

  • Earnings Date: January 30, 2025 (expected)
  • Key Themes: Apple’s earnings will reveal insights into iPhone 16 sales, services growth, and the state of consumer spending during an uncertain economic environment. Supply chain stability and wearables performance will also be under scrutiny.
  • Metrics to Watch: iPhone revenue, services growth, and commentary on margins and consumer demand trends.
  • Trading AAPL Earnings: Traders bullish on Apple’s earnings and long-term resilience can turn to the Direxion Daily AAPL Bull 2X Shares (Ticker: AAPU) for amplified exposure. Conversely, those expecting weaker-than-expected iPhone sales or cautious guidance can use the Direxion Daily AAPL Bear 1X Shares (Ticker: AAPD) to attempt to hedge or profit from potential declines. AAPU and AAPD seek daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 200% and 100% of the inverse (or opposite), respectively, of the performance of the common shares of Apple Inc. (Ticker: AAPL).

Broader Implications for the Market

The earnings results from Microsoft, Alphabet, and Apple will serve as bellwethers for the broader tech sector and the Nasdaq-100. Together, these companies account for a significant portion of the index, meaning their performance could drive market sentiment and index-level movements.

Direxion’s Single Stock Daily Leveraged & Inverse ETFs provide a flexible way to trade these earnings reports while tailoring exposure to bullish or bearish views.

An investor should carefully consider a Fund’s investment objective, risks, charges, and expenses before investing. A Fund’s prospectus and summary prospectus contain this and other information about the Direxion Shares. To obtain a Fund’s prospectus and summary prospectus call 866-476-7523 or visit our website at direxion.com. A Fund’s prospectus and summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing.

Direxion Shares ETF Risks – An investment in the ETFs involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. The ETFs are non-diversified and include risks associated with concentration that results from an ETF’s investments in a particular industry, sector or company, which can increase volatility. The use of derivatives such as futures contracts and swaps are subject to market risks that may cause their price to fluctuate over time. The ETFs do not attempt to, and should not be expected to, provide returns which are a multiple of respective underlying security for periods other than a single day. For other risks including leverage, correlation, daily compounding, market volatility and risks specific to an industry, sector or company, please read the prospectus.

Sign Up for the Latest Insights

Provides market related news and insights geared toward active traders to help them target potential trading opportunities in Leveraged and Inverse ETFs.
Provides insights into various economic and market related events to help investors identify thematic investment opportunities in Non-Leveraged ETFs.
Highlights the top 10 Direxion Leverage & Inverse ETFs in a video that is updated every 10 trading days.
Behind the Numbers is your weekly gateway to U.S. financial market insight, trends, & compelling statistic shaping the economic terrain.
Operational Updates
Provides updates on all Direxion ETF events, including product launches, corporate actions, and distributions.